";s:4:"text";s:18821:"police- settlements. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Preview of Spotify. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. send a tweet. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The data behind that evolution is striking. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Happy holidays! The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. ( Businessweek) The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Happy holidays! Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Galen speaks with him. 04:58 PM. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. 01:06 PM. . 450 episodes. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. The State Of The Polls, 2016. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. By May 21, 2021 0 . I'm Galen Truk. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Local news is disappearing across the country. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. 2,. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. ";s:7:"keyword";s:35:"fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts";s:5:"links";s:743:"Do It Yourself Boat Yard Stuart Fl,
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